Purdue vs Minnesota Odds: Line, Spread, Over/Under
After Jaden Ivey hit a marvelous buzzer-beater to defeat Ohio State, the 18-3 #4 Purdue Boilermakers now turn their attention to the 11-7 Minnesota Gophers tonight at 7:00 PM EST. WynnBET has Purdue as 10.5-point favorites and -670 on the moneyline (bet $67 to win $10) while the over-under is 140.5.
Will Purdue keep rolling as Ivey bolsters his Naismith Player of the Year case or should bettors look elsewhere for value?
Purdue vs Minnesota Prediction Tonight
The Boilermakers have advantages across the board in this matchup. They rank 1st in college basketball in adjusted offensive efficiency and 82nd in defensive efficiency compared to 69th and 138th for Minnesota. With the 7th-best 2-point shooting percentage and 2nd-best 3-point percentage, they’ll score at will against this Gophers’ defense.
Even if Purdue misses shots, they’ll gobble up rebounds and give themselves second-chance points. The Boilermakers are 6th in offensive rebounding rate and 24th in defensive while the Gophers are 354th and 203rd, respectively. That offensive rebounding prowess helps them rank 24th nationally in free throw rate while Minnesota is a woeful 315th.
Purdue is going to have plenty of chances to score. The only way Minnesota can keep up is by draining shots from beyond the arc, where the Boilermakers can be beat. They’re just 133rd nationally in 3-point defense and Minnesota makes just 35.4% of their 3-point shots, good for 79th in the country.
Minnesota wants to play at a slow pace but I expect Purdue to jump out to an early lead and force the Gophers to fire away from deep to keep up. The over is 5-1 in Minnesota’s last six contests and 8-2-1 when they’re an underdog, so there’s a history of them shooting a lot to try to keep games close. Purdue has scored at least 80 points in five of their last six and I expect them to make it six of seven.
I’m thrilled to take the over 140 (-110) but I also like Purdue -10.5 (-110). The Gophers are just 1-7 against the spread in their last eight home games and Purdue’s rebounding advantage should allow them enough opportunities to blow the game open even if they aren’t hitting shots.
What Channel is the Purdue Game On?
Purdue vs Minnesota will be broadcast on BTN at 7:00 PM EST.